Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.180038 0.202870 0.226909 0.254050 0.283785 0.315312 0.351212
2025-05-04 0.149752 0.180632 0.214909 0.255586 0.302339 0.354189 0.415828
2025-05-11 0.130101 0.166423 0.208599 0.260776 0.323146 0.394853 0.483045
2025-05-18 0.116098 0.156503 0.205324 0.267938 0.345333 0.437047 0.553060
2025-05-25 0.100990 0.143155 0.196064 0.266247 0.355709 0.464674 0.606028
2025-06-01 0.089174 0.132484 0.188762 0.265743 0.366622 0.492526 0.659510
2025-06-08 0.079187 0.123031 0.181913 0.264794 0.376203 0.518364 0.710704
2025-06-15 0.073009 0.118087 0.180433 0.270427 0.394105 0.554961 0.776333
2025-06-22 0.065928 0.111061 0.175353 0.270500 0.404129 0.581183 0.828879
2025-06-29 0.059683 0.104602 0.170437 0.270215 0.413252 0.606090 0.880016
2025-07-06 0.054192 0.098719 0.165805 0.269825 0.421870 0.630228 0.930448
2025-07-13 0.050218 0.094824 0.163760 0.272894 0.435245 0.661011 0.990473
2025-07-20 0.047412 0.092707 0.164445 0.280297 0.455538 0.702614 1.067485
2025-07-27 0.043567 0.088459 0.161455 0.281851 0.467186 0.732289 1.128646
2025-08-03 0.040925 0.086025 0.161139 0.287412 0.484872 0.770965 1.203406
2025-08-10 0.038935 0.084545 0.162226 0.295132 0.505982 0.815064 1.286909
2025-08-17 0.035391 0.079848 0.157569 0.293285 0.512185 0.837381 1.339448
2025-08-24 0.032418 0.075912 0.153890 0.292730 0.520207 0.862416 1.396349
2025-08-31 0.029656 0.072090 0.150103 0.291699 0.527281 0.886047 1.451560
2025-09-07 0.028194 0.070721 0.150559 0.297791 0.545859 0.927429 1.533904
2025-09-14 0.026011 0.067631 0.147646 0.297868 0.554570 0.953832 1.594291
2025-09-21 0.023970 0.064617 0.144639 0.297559 0.562519 0.979124 1.653416
2025-09-28 0.022092 0.061750 0.141688 0.297137 0.570156 1.003994 1.712295